cfDNA-Based PreCar Score Doubles Early Hepatocellular Carcinoma Detection Sensitivity Versus Ultrasound
In a multicenter Chinese study of 4,367 liver cirrhosis and 510 hepatocellular carcinoma patients, a cfDNA-based five-feature screening model (PreCar Score) achieved 51% sensitivity for early-stage HCC at 96% specificity, compared to only 24% sensitivity for ultrasound. Combining PreCar Score with ultrasound further increased sensitivity to 61%. The results position cfDNA fragmentomics as a practical adjunct to current surveillance guidelines for high-risk cirrhosis patients, where early HCC detection remains a major unmet need.
The original study
Cell-free DNA testing for early hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance.
- Authors
- Chen L, Wu T, Fan R, Qian YS, Liu JF, Bai J, et al.
- Journal
- EBioMedicine
- Type
- Multicenter Study, Journal Article
- PMID
- 38184937
Original abstract
BACKGROUND: Liver cirrhosis (LC) is the highest risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development worldwide. The efficacy of the guideline-recommended surveillance methods for patients with LC remains unpromising. METHODS: A total of 4367 LCs not previously known to have HCC and 510 HCCs from 16 hospitals across 11 provinces of China were recruited in this multi-center, large-scale, cross-sectional study. Participants were divided into Stage Ⅰ cohort (510 HCCs and 2074 LCs) and Stage Ⅱ cohort (2293 LCs) according to their enrollment time and underwent Tri-phasic CT/enhanced MRI, US, AFP, and cell-free DNA (cfDNA). A screening model called PreCar Score was established based on five features of cfDNA using Stage Ⅰ cohort. Surveillance performance of PreCar Score alone or in combination with US/AFP was evaluated in Stage Ⅱ cohort. FINDINGS: PreCar Score showed a significantly higher sensitivity for the detection of early/very early HCC (Barcelona stage A/0) in contrast to US (sensitivity of 51.32% [95% CI: 39.66%-62.84%] at 95.53% [95% CI: 94.62%-96.38%] specificity for PreCar Score; sensitivity of 23.68% [95% CI: 14.99%-35.07%] at 99.37% [95% CI: 98.91%-99.64%] specificity for US) (P < 0.01, Fisher's exact test). PreCar Score plus US further achieved a higher sensitivity of 60.53% at 95.08% specificity for early/very early HCC screening. INTERPRETATION: Our study developed and validated a cfDNA-based screening tool (PreCar Score) for HCC in cohorts at high risk. The combination of PreCar Score and US can serve as a promising and practical strategy for routine HCC care. FUNDING: A full list of funding bodies that contributed to this study can be found in Acknowledgments section.